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 NEFL Week 2 (May 19, 2012)

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jimmiekaska

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Age : 32
Location : Eau Claire, WI

PostSubject: Re: NEFL Week 2 (May 19, 2012)   Fri May 18, 2012 1:33 am

Thanks Blair, I don't really have time for it at all but too many people tell me they appreciate the coverage, so I can't stop now.

As for predictions, I'm way too exhausted on various stats and figures to guess who will win what games. Here's what the numbers say. If it's within 10% I give the edge to the home team (home team in CAPS):

SPARTANS 41% over Storm
Crush 61% over GLADIATORS
PIONEERS 93% over Giants
Rage 74% over THUNDERHAWKS
Force 62% over PREDATORS

Percentages are the average difference between the teams in four sets of power rankings, with extra emphasis given on the last 10 games ranking. For this week I added in the difference in Coaches Poll votes as well, giving the 7 teams that received votes an even bigger edge (the only human element in the rankings).

Without the human element, the Gladiators and Predators move into the predicted wins column, although neither would gain a higher percentage than their opponent.
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blair johnson



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PostSubject: Re: NEFL Week 2 (May 19, 2012)   Tue May 15, 2012 7:48 pm

Man Jimmie I don't know where you find the time for all of this!
The league is lucky to have such unique in depth coverage!
Thanks
Blair
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jimmiekaska

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PostSubject: NEFL Week 2 (May 19, 2012)   Tue May 15, 2012 5:04 pm

NEFL Weekly - Week 2 Radio Show (click here to listen)

Martin Adams, Predators Head Coach
Ray Roberts, Thunderhawks Head Coach
Mike Williams, Rage Head Coach
Fred Hoversholm, Crush Head Coach
Jason Isaac, Gladiators Head Coach

# # # # #

NEFL Week 2 Release (Click here to view the release)

# # # # #

Game Notes (Click on the game you're interested in learning more about)

Kimberly Storm @ Central Wisconsin Spartans

Eau Claire Crush @ Green Bay Gladiators

Rochester Giants @ St Paul Pioneers

Fox Valley Force @ Chippewa Valley Predators

Lake Superior Rage @ Menomonie Thunderhawks

Dubuque Bruisers @ River City Rough Riders (Non-League)

# # # # #

NEFL in the Community

-Chippewa Valley Predators get involved with NFL Play 60 and USA Football

-Eau Claire Crush donate to Big Brothers Big Sisters of Northwestern Wisconsin

-Menomonie Thunderhawks' home game this week is United Way of Dunn County Day

-The River City Rough Riders’ TV show, “Rough Riders Live,” will air at 11 a.m. Saturday on Fox 25/48 (WLAX/WEUX La Crosse / Eau Claire). This is the third episode of the show, in its first season.

-The Chippewa Valley Predators' TV show, "It's Time! Predators Live," will air at 9:30 p.m. Saturday on Fox 25/48 (WLAX/WEUX La Crosse / Eau Claire). This is the first episode of the show, in its third season.

# # # # #

All-time rankings - These are already in the forum and updated weekly.

# # # # #

WEEK 2 POWER RANKINGS (Last 10 games played, including non-league games)
NOTE: Week 5 and beyond will include 2012 NEFL game results only

1. Pioneers (LW: 1)
2. Force (LW: 4)
3. Dragons (LW: 2)
4. Predators (LW: 3)
5. Rage (LW: 5)
6. Crush (LW: 6)
7. Gladiators (LW: 7)
8. Giants (LW: 8 )
9. Thunderhawks (LW: 9)
10. Storm (LW: 10)
11. Spartans (LW: 11)
12. Rough Riders (LW: 12)

# # # # #

PRESEASON COACHES POLL

1. Pioneers (10) - 50
2. Force - 31.5
3. Predators - 26.5
4. Dragons - 19
5. Rage - 17.5

Also receiving votes: Crush - 5, Thunderhawks - 0.5.

Teams participating: Crush, Force, Gladiators, Pioneers, Predators, Rage, Rough Riders, Spartans, Storm, Thunderhawks (10 total)

Poll facts: The Pioneers are unanimously voted #1... Only 3 teams appeared on every ballot: the Pioneers, Force and Rage... every team ranked 2-5 received at least one 2nd-place vote... Only two ties were cast in balloting... 5 teams did not receive a vote, but all of those teams participated in the polling... The Predators and Dragons did not appear on one ballot apiece (not the same ballot)... The Central Division teams all received votes, while two from the West and just one from the East got on ballots... The Pioneers (50 points) out-ranked the entire Central Division combined (49.5 points)... Of the 10 ballots cast, only 2 had the same order of ranked teams.

# # # # #

PLAYOFF PICTURE

Place-Team-Record-Division Record-NEFL PA-Div PA
### Division Leaders ###
*C* 1-Crush 1-0 1-0 6 6 (wins tiebreaker based on NEFL points allowed)
*E* 2-Gladiators 1-0 1-0 10 10 (wins tiebreaker based on Division Record)
*W* 3-Pioneers 1-0 0-0 0 0
### Wild Cards ###
4-Force 1-0 0-0 0 0 (wins tiebreaker based on NEFL points allowed)
5-Rage 1-0 0-0 41 0
6/7-Predators/Giants (coin flip; all tiebreakers are even)
### Currently Would Miss The Playoffs ###
8-Dragons 0-1 0-0 15 0 (wins tiebreaker based on NEFL points allowed)
9-Rough Riders 0-1 0-0 46 0 (wins tiebreaker based on NEFL points allowed)
10-Spartans 0-1 0-0 66 0 (wins tiebreaker based on Division Record)
11-Thunderhawks 0-1 0-1 20 20 (wins tiebreaker based on NEFL points allowed)
12-Storm 0-1 0-1 38 38

If season ended today
Predators/Giants at Pioneers
Rage at Force
Byes: Crush, Gladiators

Clinching scenarios for week 2: None
Elimination scenarios for week 2: None


Last edited by jimmiekaska on Fri May 18, 2012 1:25 am; edited 8 times in total
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NEFL Week 2 (May 19, 2012)
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